It’s that time of year, when Business Link Magazine invites the region’s business leaders to offer up their predictions for the year ahead.
It has become something of a tradition, given that we’ve been doing this now for over 30 years.
Here we speak to Jason Whitworth, M&A Partner at BDO LLP in Yorkshire.
The continued challenges in the economic environment have unsurprisingly translated into a quieter M&A market in 2023, with deal volume, both regionally and nationally, down – according to the latest BDO quarterly Private Company Price Index (PCPI) report.
Across the board, fewer M&A deals were done in Q3 than in the previous quarter. Overall, transaction levels were down from 673 to 567; trade deals fell from 559 to 476; while private equity deals saw a slightly steeper decline of 18%, with only 91 deals being done in the quarter.
The subdued nature of the market has resulted in deals being more difficult to deliver and taking longer to execute. Valuation in particular remains a pivotal concern in making deals happen. Uncertain, and potentially lower earnings, coupled with the higher cost of debt, means that there is more complexity in structuring deals that will meet both buyer and vendor expectations.
While the latest M&A statistics tell a certain story, there are still deals to be done with excellent and dynamic businesses in the region continuing to attract the attention of investors. The appetite to do deals remains, with strategic demand and available capital continuing to be strong. A more stable economic environment allows for more robust forecasting and, coupled with a degree of pent-up demand, we anticipate a step up in deal activity. We have started to see renewed activity from international buyers, who until recently were focussed on other ‘more attractive’ international growth markets and increased evidence of distress is bringing additional assets to market.
In the next few months, the level of activity across the region and from a sector perspective will undoubtedly continue to be affected by wider economic pressures, and political change. However, it is clear is that both corporate and private equity have a desire to invest and will be looking to deliver in 2024.
